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Belvedere-Tiburon real estate news

The Belvedere-Tiburon real estate market in 2023 experienced a notable decrease in both listing and closing prices compared to 2022. This trend reflects a cooling in the market, with a significant reduction in property values. The decrease in closed and listing prices per square foot also indicates a shift in the market dynamics, possibly due to changing economic conditions and buyer preferences. Understanding these trends is crucial for buyers, sellers, and investors navigating the Tiburon real estate market.

2023 Market Overview

  • Closed Price: The average closed price in 2023 was $3,177,615, with a median of $2,762,500.
  • Closed Price Per Sq. Ft.: The average was $1,205.39, and the median was $1,199.92.
  • Listing Price: The average listing price was $3,168,389, and the median was $2,525,000.

2022 Market Overview

  • Closed Price: The average closed price in 2022 was $4,320,265, with a median of $3,850,000.
  • Closed Price Per Sq. Ft.: The average was $1,317.56, and the median was $1,224.49.
  • Listing Price: The average listing price was $4,183,416, and the median was $3,500,000.

Year-Over-Year Comparison

  • Closed Price: There was a decrease in both the average and median closed prices, with the average dropping by approximately 26.5% and the median by about 28.3% from 2022 to 2023.
  • Closed Price Per Sq. Ft.: The average and median prices per square foot also decreased year-over-year, with the average down by about 8.5% and the median by about 2.0%.
  • Listing Price: The average listing price saw a decrease of about 24.3%, and the median listing price decreased by about 27.9% from 2022 to 2023.

The notable decrease in Belvedere-Tiburon's real estate market last year can be attributed to several key factors:

  1. Surge in Interest Rates: One of the most impactful factors was the significant increase in interest rates, which more than doubled from around 3% to 7.5%. This steep rise made borrowing more expensive, thereby reducing the affordability of homes for many potential buyers. Higher interest rates typically lead to a cooling effect in the housing market, as they increase the cost of mortgages, thus deterring buyers.
  2. Decline in Property Sales Volume: The number of properties sold in Tiburon dropped by approximately one-third, from 90 in 2022 to 60 in 2023. This decline indicates a slowdown in market activity, likely a result of the higher interest rates and the subsequent hesitancy among buyers to commit to large investments in a more expensive borrowing environment.
  3. Buyer Hesitancy: With the changing economic landscape, particularly the sharp increase in interest rates, many potential buyers chose to sit on the sidelines. This wait-and-see approach led to a decrease in demand, contributing to the overall reduction in sales and prices. Buyers were likely cautious due to the uncertainty in the market and the increased cost of financing a home purchase.
  4. Selective Buying Behavior: In 2023, the properties that did sell were predominantly turnkey, well-priced homes. Buyers became more selective, focusing on properties that required minimal additional investment and offered good value for money. This shift in buyer preference meant that homes needing renovations or those priced above market value struggled to find buyers, further contributing to the decrease in average and median sale prices.

2024 Belvedere-Tiburon Real Estate Market Prediction

Looking ahead to 2024, the Tiburon real estate market is poised for some notable changes, influenced by evolving economic conditions and buyer preferences:

  1. Interest Rate Cuts: A key development expected in 2024 is the potential reduction in interest rates, with forecasts suggesting 2 or 3 cuts during the year. These cuts would lower the cost of borrowing, making home purchases more affordable and potentially stimulating market activity. A decrease in interest rates typically encourages buyers to re-enter the market, as the financial burden of a mortgage becomes more manageable.
  2. Pent-Up Demand for Turnkey Homes: There is likely to be a pent-up demand for turnkey, well-priced homes. Buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines, deterred by high interest rates and economic uncertainty, may find the market more appealing as conditions improve. Turnkey homes, which require little to no additional investment, are particularly attractive to buyers looking for convenience and immediate move-in readiness. This demand could drive significant activity, especially in the segments of the market offering properties that meet these criteria.
  3. Increase in Listings in Spring 2024: The Spring of 2024 is expected to see an increase in property listings. Spring traditionally marks a peak season in real estate, and with improved market conditions, more sellers may be encouraged to list their properties. This influx of listings could provide more options for buyers, leading to a more dynamic and active market. The increased inventory might also help to stabilize prices, especially if it aligns with the growing demand for homes.

Conclusion

The Belvedere-Tiburon real estate market in 2024 is expected to experience a resurgence, driven by lower interest rates, a strong demand for turnkey properties, and an increase in listings during the spring season. These factors could create a more favorable environment for both buyers and sellers, potentially leading to a more balanced and robust market.

Plus, Tiburon being Tiburon, there will ALWAYS be people wanting to live in this beautiful part of the world. Expect to see much more activity in the coming Spring than we saw over the past 6-9 months.

Text me with any/all questions you have, I'm here to be a resource.

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